The ANES Guide to Public Opinion and Electoral Behavior

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Expected Closeness of Presidential Race 1952- 2012

with 2012 percentages by mode

  '52 '54 '56 '58 '60 '62 '64 '66 '68 '70 '72 '74 '76 '78 '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '08 '12 F12 W12
Will Win by Quite a Bit: 25 ** 31 ** 16 ** 51 ** 25 ** 64 ** 17 ** 17 ** 49 ** 26 ** 18 ** 47 ** 14 ** 18 21 18 18 19
Close Race : 75 ** 69 ** 84 ** 49 ** 75 ** 36 ** 83 ** 83 ** 51 ** 74 ** 82 ** 53 ** 86 ** 82 79 82 82 81
N   1418   1334   1411   1241   1192   2359   2377   1320   2110   1925   2395   1689   1777   1142 2280 5835 2004 3831

PERCENTAGE WITHIN STUDY YEAR
F12 indicates 2012 face-to-face mode only
W12 indicates 2012 Web mode only


Table 6D.9_
 
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