The ANES Guide to Public Opinion and Electoral Behavior
Expected Closeness of Presidential Race by Mode 1952-2016
| '52 | '54 | '56 | '58 | '60 | '62 | '64 | '66 | '68 | '70 | '72 | '74 | '76 | '78 | '80 | '82 | '84 | '86 | '88 | '90 | '92 | '94 | '96 | '98 | '00 | '02 | '04 | '06 | '08 | '10 | '12 | '12F | '12W | '14 | '16 | '16F | '16W | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Win by Quite a Bit | 20 (348) |
** | 25 (409) |
** | 12 (219) |
** | 43 (628) |
** | 20 (299) |
** | 56 (1505) |
** | 14 (393) |
** | 14 (219) |
** | 46 (1040) |
** | 25 (510) |
** | 17 (433) |
** | 46 (789) |
** | 14 (249) |
** | 18 (209) |
** | 20 (468) |
** | 18 (1066) |
17 (351) |
19 (715) |
** | 28 (1184) |
28 (309) |
28 (875) |
| Close Race | 61 (1070) |
** | 57 (925) |
** | 64 (1192) |
** | 42 (613) |
** | 60 (893) |
** | 32 (854) |
** | 69 (1985) |
** | 70 (1101) |
** | 48 (1070) |
** | 70 (1415) |
** | 79 (1962) |
** | 53 (900) |
** | 85 (1527) |
** | 81 (933) |
** | 78 (1812) |
** | 81 (4769) |
81 (1652) |
81 (3116) |
** | 72 (3057) |
70 (773) |
72 (2284) |
| Don't Know, Depends | 19 (337) |
** | 18 (295) |
** | 25 (459) |
** | 16 (229) |
** | 20 (305) |
** | 13 (338) |
** | 17 (480) |
** | 16 (245) |
** | 6 (142) |
** | 5 (105) |
** | 3 (87) |
** | 1 (22) |
** | 2 (30) |
** | 1 (15) |
** | 1 (28) |
** | 1 (35) |
2 (35) |
0 (0) |
** | 0 (15) |
1 (15) |
0 (0) |
| N | 1755 | 0 | 1629 | 0 | 1870 | 0 | 1470 | 0 | 1497 | 0 | 2697 | 0 | 2858 | 0 | 1565 | 0 | 2252 | 0 | 2030 | 0 | 2482 | 0 | 1711 | 0 | 1806 | 0 | 1157 | 0 | 2308 | 0 | 5870 | 2039 | 3831 | 0 | 4256 | 1097 | 3160 |
Percentage Within Study Year
F indicates face-to-face mode only
W indicates web/Internet mode only
Table 6D.9. by Mode